Wind Turbines at Sunset
DSM (Deviation Settlement Mechanism) • India

Make DSM penalties Predictable
and significantly lower.

Generate solar or wind power without the stress of unpredictability. We predict accurately and automate your scheduling to minimize penalties.

DSM Core Interaction

Bridging the gap between unpredictable weather and grid stability with hyper-local intelligence.

What is DSM?

DSM is a billing mechanism for grid stability. As a generator, you promise the grid a specific amount of power (Schedule). If your Actual generation deviates from this Schedule, you pay heavy penalty charges.

The Challenge

Weather is unpredictable. A sudden cloud cover or wind drop can cause massive deviations, leading to financial losses.

The Solution

Climate Forte uses hyper-local weather intelligence to predict generation with high accuracy and updates your schedule automatically.

Power Grid Integration
40–60%

Typical penalty reduction
with our AI

Forecasting Process Flow

Our advanced pipeline combines multiple data sources and AI models for accurate predictions.

Aaizel Tech
Weather Forecast
Weather Station
Ground Truth
Raw Data Flow
Processing
Physics-Based
PV Simulation
Physics Logic
AI Layer
AI Forecast
Correction Layer
AI Optimization
Output
DSM Penalty
Calculation

THE PROCESS.

No need to learn complex grid rules. We handle the end-to-end workflow.

01
01

Hyper-local Forecast

We analyze weather patterns specifically for your plant's location using satellite & ground data.

02
02

AI Power Prediction

Our models convert weather data into precise MW generation forecasts for every 15-minute block.

03
03

Auto-Scheduling

We automatically submit optimized schedules to the SLDC/RLDC portals, ensuring compliance.

Case Study: Bhadla Cluster

(Week 52: March 23–29, 2026)

Target Entity: EESPL Bhadla

Weekly Penalty Paid

Existing₹47.88 Lakhs
Climate Forte DSM Optimizer₹7.10 Lakhs

85% Reduction in penalties.

Peak Weekly Loss

Existing₹62.83 Lakhs (Mar 25)
Climate Forte DSM Optimizer₹4.20 Lakhs

Our model prevents "Extreme Error" days.

Avg. Forecast Error

Existing~9.5% to 12%
Climate Forte DSM Optimizer3% to 4.5%

Stay within CERC VLwS 1 (Safe Zone).

CERC 2024 Slab

ExistingFalls into VLwS 3 (150% penalty)
Climate Forte DSM OptimizerStays in VLwS 1 (0% penalty)

Avoiding the "Danger Slabs."

Energy Revenue

ExistingRevenue Lost (Zero payment for over-injection)
Climate Forte DSM OptimizerRevenue Protected

Full payment for every unit generated.

Overview

01

The Financial Crisis

As per the NRPC report for March 2026, the Bhadla cluster is currently bleeding cash. EESPL Bhadla-2 paid ₹47.88 Lakhs in a single week. On March 25th alone, they lost ₹62 Lakhs. This isn't a weather problem; it's an algorithm problem. You are paying for accuracy you aren't getting.

02

The CERC 2024 "Trap"

Under the CERC 2024 Regulations (Regulation 8.4), the moment your deviation crosses 10%, you aren't just paying a penalty; you are paying 150% of the contract rate. If you over-inject beyond 10%, the government pays you ZERO. You are essentially giving away free power and paying a fine for it. Current forecasts are consistently landing you in these 'Danger Slabs.

03

The ML Solution (Justification)

Our ML model is built specifically for the 96-block 15-minute scheduling required by the CERC. For a 50MW farm, we don't just 'predict weather'; we predict MW Injection with a focus on staying below the 5% deviation threshold. • Existing Error: 10% (Penalty: 150%) • Our Error: 4% - 5%

Summary

Financial Impact

We are not a cost; we are a revenue recovery tool. If we save you just 2 blocks of 'High Deviation' per day, the software pays for itself.

Regulatory Compliance

We are 100% aligned with the April 2024 CERC Draft Notification regarding the Normal Rate (NR) and Reference Rate (RR) calculations.

The "Zero-Risk" Offer

You have the NRPC report from last week. Give us your actual SCADA generation for that same week. We will overlay our ML prediction on it and show you exactly how many Lakhs we would have saved you. Let the math do the talking.

Solar Panels
Value Proposition

Maximize revenue.
Minimize risk.

Your asset should generate profit, not penalties. Our system ensures you get paid for what you produce.

SolarWindHybridOpen AccessCaptive

Higher Accuracy

Outperforms standard forecasts by 15-20%.

Audit Trail

Complete logs of every schedule submitted.

Daily Reports

Automated settlement reports in your inbox.

Compliance

Fully aligned with CERC/SERC regulations.